Do AP Voters Favor Teams From Their Own Region?
Barely. Voters from a conference's states rank that conference's teams about a quarter of a spot higher than other voters do. That's about one spot for every four teams. We also track which voters sit furthest from the poll. Far from the poll doesn't mean wrong, only different from the group.
Key Findings
- Region: Voters from a conference's states rank its teams about a quarter of a spot higher than other voters. Voters in Big Ten states lean the most, +0.27 spots.
- Home state: Voters rank teams from their own state about a fifth of a spot higher this year (polls through Nov. 8), which isn't clearly different from zero. In 2014 to 2023 final polls it was about half a spot.
- Furthest all season: Stephen Means, 3.3 spots per team on average across all 11 polls.
- Closest all season: Julian Mininsohn, 0.85 spots per team on average.
Voters barely favor their own region
Every week, 70 sportswriters and broadcasters each send the AP their own Top 25, and the poll is their combined vote. The voters come from all over the country, so a fair question is whether they lift the teams near them.
We compared each voter's rank for a team with the average rank every other voter gave that team in the same poll. Then we checked whether voters based in a conference's states ranked its teams higher than voters from everywhere else did.
They do, barely. In the polls through Nov. 8, it's about a quarter of a spot, or one spot for every four teams. Voters in Big Ten states lifted Big Ten teams 0.27 spots, and voters in SEC states lifted SEC teams 0.25. Voters in ACC states were at 0.18, and voters in Big 12 states showed no lean.
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Only the Big Ten's lean is too big to be chance once you account for checking four conferences at once.
Teams from a voter's own state get about a fifth of a spot this year, and that isn't clearly different from zero. In the final polls from 2014 to 2023, it was about half a spot.
Single rankings can look bigger. Pat Welter of WRAL Raleigh had Duke #16 on Sept. 20, when the poll had Duke unranked. Jon Wilner of the San Jose Mercury News had USC #13 on Oct. 4, when the poll had USC #19. On Oct. 18, Wilner left USC off entirely while the poll had it #16. That's why the averages matter more than single examples.
One limit: this compares voters with each other. If the whole panel leaned the same way, this test couldn't see it.
Make your own Top 25 and see how it compares with the AP poll and its voters.
Rank my Top 25Stephen Means has been furthest from the poll this season
To see who sits furthest from the group, we measure how far each voter's ranking sat from the poll in spots per team. 0 would be the poll exactly, and 2 means the voter had the poll's teams 2 spots off on average.
Across all 11 polls, from the preseason poll on Aug. 13 to Nov. 8, Stephen Means has been 3.3 spots per team from the poll on average. The next furthest are Dylan Sinn of Fort Wayne Journal Gazette and Koki Riley of The Advocate (Baton Rouge), at 3.1 each.
Julian Mininsohn of WKRN Nashville has been the closest, 0.85 spots per team on average. The average voter has been 1.8.
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Voters sat closest to the poll on Nov. 1
The average voter was 1.5 spots per team from the Nov. 1 poll, the lowest of the season. Voters were furthest apart on Oct. 4, when the average was 2.0.
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The furthest anyone has been from one poll was Stephen Means on Oct. 25, 4.5 spots per team. That ranking left #16 Tennessee out.
The closest anyone has been to one poll was 0.4 spots per team. Michael Katz of NE Mississippi Daily Journal did it on Sept. 20, and Eric Johnson of WSLS Roanoke did it on Nov. 1.
Five weeks before that, on Sept. 27, Eric Johnson left Miami out of the Top 25. Miami was 4-0 and #4 in that poll.
Every voter's average, preseason to Nov. 8
Spots per team from the poll, averaged over all 11 polls, for the 67 voters who sent a ranking every week. Furthest first.
| Voter | Outlet | Spots per team |
|---|---|---|
| Stephen Means | Cleveland.com | 3.29 |
| Dylan Sinn | Fort Wayne Journal Gazette | 3.14 |
| Koki Riley | The Advocate (Baton Rouge) | 3.11 |
| Jon Wilner | San Jose Mercury News | 2.73 |
| Ralph Russo | The Athletic | 2.61 |
| Javon Edmonds | Syracuse Post-Standard | 2.59 |
| Brian Fonseca | NJ Advance Media | 2.47 |
| Kirk Bohls | Houston Chronicle | 2.45 |
| Murray Evans | Lawton Constitution | 2.45 |
| Bob Asmussen | News-Gazette | 2.34 |
| Chris Murray | Nevada Sports Net | 2.32 |
| David Jablonski | Dayton Daily News | 2.27 |
| Dave Preston | WTOP Radio | 2.24 |
| Eric Hansen | South Bend Tribune | 2.19 |
| Andy Yamashita | Seattle Times | 2.18 |
| Ian Kress | WLNS Lansing | 2.18 |
| Rece Davis | ESPN | 2.15 |
| Chris Carter | Pittsburgh Post-Gazette | 2.15 |
| Brett McMurphy | Action Network | 2.15 |
| Greg Luca | San Antonio Express-News | 2.14 |
| Mike Griffith | AJC | 2.13 |
| Kirk Kenney | San Diego Union-Tribune | 2.13 |
| Tom Murphy | Arkansas Democrat-Gazette | 2.12 |
| Bob Ballou | CBS Austin | 2.12 |
| Pat Welter | WRAL Raleigh | 2.10 |
| Randy Johnson | Star Tribune | 2.02 |
| Josh Furlong | KSL Salt Lake City | 2.00 |
| Brian Howell | On3 | 1.95 |
| Nick Jacobs | KSHB Kansas City | 1.94 |
| David Briggs | Toledo Blade | 1.93 |
| Creg Stephenson | AL.com | 1.92 |
| Pete Yanity | WSPA Spartanburg | 1.84 |
| Ty Hildenbrandt | The Solid Verbal | 1.81 |
| Matthew McGavic | WHAS Louisville | 1.81 |
| Spencer Ripchik | Dominion Post | 1.80 |
| Chelsie Brown | KCRG Cedar Rapids | 1.79 |
| Henry Greenstein | Lawrence Journal-World | 1.76 |
| Nicole Auerbach | NBC Sports | 1.75 |
| John Johnson | WXII Winston-Salem | 1.74 |
| BJ Rains | 247Sports | 1.65 |
| Garland Gillen | WVUE New Orleans | 1.65 |
| Zach Klein | WSB Atlanta | 1.64 |
| Cameron Cox | KPNX Phoenix | 1.63 |
| Mike Hill | Fox Sports | 1.53 |
| David Paschall | Chattanooga Times Free Press | 1.50 |
| Trevor Hass | Boston.com | 1.48 |
| Eric Johnson | WSLS Roanoke | 1.43 |
| Alex Taylor | Wyoming Tribune Eagle | 1.41 |
| Brenna Greene | KOIN Portland | 1.40 |
| Louie Vaccher | WildcatReport.com | 1.37 |
| Kate Rogerson | WTVD Raleigh | 1.31 |
| Keara Bruno | WCAV Charlottesville | 1.31 |
| Ryan Zuke | MLive | 1.30 |
| Andy Kendeigh | KETV Omaha | 1.28 |
| Kevin Carter | CBS Sports | 1.27 |
| Scott Hamilton | WNKT Charleston | 1.15 |
| Madison Hricik | Cedar Rapids Gazette | 1.13 |
| Jerry Humphrey | AL.com | 1.12 |
| Jamal St. Cyr | WJXT Jacksonville | 1.12 |
| Lia Assimakopoulos | Dallas Morning News | 1.07 |
| Mike Jacques | WMTV Madison | 1.05 |
| Matt Murschel | Orlando Sentinel | 1.04 |
| Joe Arruda | Hartford Courant | 1.01 |
| Lee K. Howard | WKYT Lexington | 0.99 |
| Haley Sawyer | SoCal News Group | 0.93 |
| Michael Katz | NE Mississippi Daily Journal | 0.91 |
| Julian Mininsohn | WKRN Nashville | 0.85 |
For this week's rankings, voter by voter, see our AP poll voters page.
On Nov. 8, voters ranked #15 USC anywhere from #9 to #22. Where would you put USC?
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Questions and Answers
Do AP poll voters rank their local teams higher?
Barely. In the 2026 AP polls through Nov. 8, voters based in a conference's states ranked its teams about a quarter of a spot higher than other voters did. Teams from a voter's own state got about a fifth of a spot, which isn't clearly different from zero.
Who are the AP poll voters?
About 70 sportswriters and broadcasters chosen by the AP. Each sends a Top 25 every week, and the AP adds them up into the poll. Our AP poll voters page lists every voter and outlet for the latest poll.
How many AP poll voters are there?
70 in 2026. The AP's site showed us 68 to 70 of their rankings each week this season.
Does being far from the poll mean a voter is wrong?
No. The poll is the voters' combined vote, not the right answer. A voter far from it is only different from the group.
Which AP voter is furthest from the poll in 2026?
Stephen Means of Cleveland.com, 3.3 spots per team on average across all 11 polls through Nov. 8. Julian Mininsohn of WKRN Nashville has been closest, at 0.85.
For reporters: Methodology · Data Checks · Data Requests
Methodology
Region: for each voter, team and poll, we take the average rank all other voters gave the team minus this voter's rank, with a team left off counted as #26. A conference's states are the states of its teams that voters ranked. For each conference, we compare voters based in one of those states against all other voters, on that conference's teams, leaving out teams from the voter's own state. Each voter counts once, averaged over the polls. We test the gap by shuffling which voters count as in-region 10,000 times, and we correct for testing four conferences. A voter's state is the city listed for that voter on collegepolltracker.com; a team's state is its stadium's. Distance from the poll: for each of the 25 teams in the published poll, we count how many spots the voter's rank was from the poll's rank, with a team the voter left off counted as #26, then average the 25. It's the same measure as our AP poll voters page.
Data Checks
- Every distance number was computed twice, by separately written code, from the AP's published rankings, and the two matched.
- The region test reproduces our earlier run on the first eight polls of 2026 exactly before adding the rest.
Limitations
- The AP's site didn't return every voter every week, so we have 68 to 70 of the 70 rankings each week.
- The region test compares voters with each other. It can't see a lean the whole panel shares.
- 2014 to 2023 uses final polls only, one per season, so it isn't a like-for-like match with 2026's weekly polls.
- A voter's listed city isn't always the outlet's base.
- Distance from the poll measures difference from the group, not accuracy.
Sources
- The Associated Press. Each voter's Top 25 as published on the AP's poll site, preseason (Aug. 13) to Nov. 8, 2026. Outlets as the AP lists them.
- collegepolltracker.com. AP voters' final-poll rankings, 2014 to 2023, and each voter's listed city.
- CollegeFootballData.com. Team stadium locations.
Data Requests
The full dataset behind this report is available on request. Email press@rankcfb.com.